Max Holloway vs Anthony Pettis Betting Pick Breakdown

ufc-206When UFC 206 was announced Toronto fans went absolutely crazy for the UFC returning to the city.  The card was somewhat weak, but the tickets still sold with fans just happy to have a PPV in the city.  Then Cormier was forced to pull out of his title fight against Anthony Johnson and now the card is a Fight Night at best.  The UFC tried to salvage the card by bumping the Holloway vs Pettis fight up to an interim title, but it’s still the same fight.  Don’t get me wrong, this is a great fight, but it’s still funny how everything trickled down.

Holloway has deserved a title shot for a long time, so if this is how he gets an interim shot then I’m all for it.  If Jose Aldo hadn’t been running from Holloway for the past year then maybe we would have had a fight between Aldo and Holloway at this event for the undisputed belt.  That said, Pettis is a good consolation, even though he’s been gifted this shot.

I’m going to break down how I see this fight playing out.  The odds are from Bet365.com.

Bet365 Button

Max Holloway vs Anthony Pettis

Like I said above.  Holloway has earned his title shot, while Pettis hasn’t earned anything in this division.

Holloway is on a 9 fight winning streak, with his last loss coming against Conor McGregor way back in August of 2013.  Holloway has seemingly moved up the ladder one guy at a time, beating Cub Swanson, Charles Oliveira, Jeremy Stephens and most recently Ricardo Lamas on his march towards a title shot.  He has dominated pretty much every one of these fights as well, either getting a finish or a clear cut decision win.  In fact he hasn’t lost a round in any of the three decision wins over that 9 fight win streak either.

Pettis, on the other hand, was actually getting worked by Charles Oliveira in his first fight at 145 pounds before pulling out a submission in the third round.  That fight was after losing 3 straight at 155 pounds to Dos Anjos, Alvarez and Barboza.  To be clear, Pettis did not look good in that Cowboy Oliveira fight.

I see this fight turning out similar to the Barboza fight for Pettis.  Holloway will put forward a ton of pressure and overwhelm Pettis in this one.  Holloway lands a ridiculous 5.61 strikes per minute, which is among the highest in the UFC.  Pettis is not nearly as active, landing a very low (2.54) strikes each minute as he waits for a showtime technique.

I think Holloway should have no trouble outpointing Pettis in this one in a dominant win.

Play: Holloway 1.58 @ Bet365.com

Aldo had better be ready because Holloway is coming out with the win and then there is no running for Jose.  Aldo was quoted saying he would prefer Pettis because he’s a bigger name.  While that may be, hardcore fans love Max Holloway and will throw down money to see him fight.  Pettis has been headlined on PPV events twice and they had 270,000 and 310,000 buy rates, which are nothing too impressive.  At this point in their careers I think more people would like to see Holloway vs Aldo, and I think that’s what we will get.

December 1, 2016 by : Posted in Other Sports No Comments

Leave a Reply